Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a UD Ibiza win with a probability of 56.02%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 19.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a UD Ibiza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.08%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
