Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a UD Ibiza win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a UD Ibiza win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
