SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Huesca | 40 | 6 | 51 |
| 15 | UD Ibiza | 40 | -5 | 51 |
| 16 | Lugo | 41 | -7 | 47 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Girona | 41 | 15 | 67 |
| 6 | Las Palmas | 41 | 9 | 67 |
| 7 | Real Oviedo | 41 | 15 | 65 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a UD Ibiza win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a UD Ibiza win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| UD Ibiza | Draw | Las Palmas |
| 38.87% | 26.13% | 35% |
| Both teams to score 53.68% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.17% | 50.83% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.29% | 72.71% |
| UD Ibiza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.38% | 25.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.49% | 60.5% |
| Las Palmas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.16% | 27.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.56% | 63.43% |
| Score Analysis |
| UD Ibiza | Draw | Las Palmas |
| 1-0 @ 9.71% 2-1 @ 8.46% 2-0 @ 6.61% 3-1 @ 3.84% 3-0 @ 3% 3-2 @ 2.46% 4-1 @ 1.31% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.46% Total : 38.87% | 1-1 @ 12.41% 0-0 @ 7.13% 2-2 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.12% | 0-1 @ 9.12% 1-2 @ 7.94% 0-2 @ 5.83% 1-3 @ 3.39% 0-3 @ 2.49% 2-3 @ 2.31% 1-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.85% Total : 35% |
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