Segunda Division | Gameweek 22
Jan 6, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio El Toralín
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Ponferradina and Villarreal II.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 48.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Villarreal II had a probability of 25.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Villarreal II win it was 0-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ponferradina would win this match.
| Result |
| Ponferradina | Draw | Villarreal II |
48.77% ( 0.08) | 25.94% ( -0.01) | 25.28% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 49.29% ( -0.02) |
| 45.83% | 54.17% ( -0) |
| 24.42% ( -0) | 75.58% |
| 77.77% ( 0.03) | 22.23% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.34% ( 0.05) | 55.66% ( -0.05) |
| 63.38% ( -0.06) | 36.62% ( 0.06) |
