SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 48.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Villarreal II had a probability of 25.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Villarreal II win it was 0-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ponferradina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ponferradina | Draw | Villarreal II |
48.77% ( 0.08) | 25.94% ( -0.01) | 25.28% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 49.29% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.83% | 54.17% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.42% ( -0) | 75.58% |
| Ponferradina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.77% ( 0.03) | 22.23% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.34% ( 0.05) | 55.66% ( -0.05) |
| Villarreal II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.38% ( -0.06) | 36.62% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.6% ( -0.06) | 73.4% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ponferradina | Draw | Villarreal II |
| 1-0 @ 12.24% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.04% Total : 48.77% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.14% 2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0)Other @ 0.86% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.82% Total : 25.28% |
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