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Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 24, 2023 at 2pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
CL

Atalanta
2 - 0
Cagliari

Lookman (33'), Pasalic (76')
Djimsiti (54')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Deiola (32'), Luvumbo (42')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 2-0 Rakow
Thursday, September 21 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Cagliari 0-0 Udinese
Sunday, September 17 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 2-0 Cagliari

Even though Atalanta have been bouncing between winning and losing, they should make it back-to-back wins for the first time this season against relegation-candidates Cagliari. Despite a fine recent record here at the Gewiss Stadium, Cagliari look likely to struggle all season, especially with no obvious goal threat, so another blank could be on the cards too. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 53.83%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 22.39%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Atalanta BC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atalanta BC.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawCagliari
53.83% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03) 23.77% (0.029 0.03) 22.39% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 52.72% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.9% (-0.118 -0.12)48.1% (0.119 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.74% (-0.108 -0.11)70.26% (0.10900000000001 0.11)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.22% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)17.78% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.51% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)48.49% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.12% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)35.88% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.34% (-0.064 -0.06)72.66% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 53.82%
    Cagliari 22.4%
    Draw 23.77%
Atalanta BCDrawCagliari
1-0 @ 11.01% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 9.51% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.61% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.42% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.37% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 53.82%
1-1 @ 11.29% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.38% (0.031 0.03)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.77%
0-1 @ 6.54% (0.021 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.79% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 3.35% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.98% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 22.4%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Atalanta 2-0 Rakow
Thursday, September 21 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Fiorentina 3-2 Atalanta
Sunday, September 17 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 3-0 Monza
Saturday, September 2 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Frosinone 2-1 Atalanta
Saturday, August 26 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sassuolo 0-2 Atalanta
Sunday, August 20 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 0-0 Atalanta
Saturday, August 12 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Cagliari 0-0 Udinese
Sunday, September 17 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 2-1 Cagliari
Saturday, September 2 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 0-2 Inter Milan
Monday, August 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 0-0 Cagliari
Monday, August 21 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 2-1 Palermo
Saturday, August 12 at 8.15pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Bari 0-1 Cagliari
Sunday, June 11 at 7.30pm in Serie B


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