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Serie A | Gameweek 1
Sep 30, 2020 at 5pm UK
Stadio Ciro Vigorito
IL

Benevento
2 - 5
Inter Milan

Caprari (34', 76')
Schiattarella (73')
FT(HT: 1-4)
Lukaku (1', 28'), Gagliardini (25'), Hakimi (42'), Martinez (71')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 50.12%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 26.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.47%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Benevento win was 2-1 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
BeneventoDrawInter Milan
26.1%23.77%50.12%
Both teams to score 56.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.4%44.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.04%66.96%
Benevento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.21%30.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.94%67.05%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.13%17.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.36%48.64%
Score Analysis
    Benevento 26.1%
    Inter Milan 50.12%
    Draw 23.77%
BeneventoDrawInter Milan
2-1 @ 6.57%
1-0 @ 6.48%
2-0 @ 3.82%
3-1 @ 2.58%
3-2 @ 2.22%
3-0 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 26.1%
1-1 @ 11.16%
2-2 @ 5.66%
0-0 @ 5.5%
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.77%
1-2 @ 9.61%
0-1 @ 9.47%
0-2 @ 8.16%
1-3 @ 5.52%
0-3 @ 4.68%
2-3 @ 3.25%
1-4 @ 2.38%
0-4 @ 2.02%
2-4 @ 1.4%
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 50.12%


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