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Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 13, 2021 at 5pm UK
Stadio Ciro Vigorito
FL

Benevento
1 - 4
Fiorentina

Ionita (56')
Glik (36'), F. (65'), Schiattarella (76'), Improta (83')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Vlahovic (8', 26', 45+1'), Eysseric (75')
Pulgar (43')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.3%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 27.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (8.44%). The likeliest Benevento win was 1-0 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
BeneventoDrawFiorentina
27.24%25.45%47.3%
Both teams to score 52.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.07%50.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.2%72.8%
Benevento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.76%33.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.14%69.85%
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.46%21.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.39%54.6%
Score Analysis
    Benevento 27.24%
    Fiorentina 47.3%
    Draw 25.45%
BeneventoDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 7.88%
2-1 @ 6.67%
2-0 @ 4.34%
3-1 @ 2.45%
3-2 @ 1.88%
3-0 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 27.24%
1-1 @ 12.1%
0-0 @ 7.16%
2-2 @ 5.12%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.45%
0-1 @ 10.99%
1-2 @ 9.3%
0-2 @ 8.44%
1-3 @ 4.76%
0-3 @ 4.32%
2-3 @ 2.62%
1-4 @ 1.83%
0-4 @ 1.66%
2-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 47.3%

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