Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 62.04%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 17.44%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Udinese win it was 1-2 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.