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Serie A | Gameweek 29
Apr 3, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
UL

Atalanta
3 - 2
Udinese

Muriel (19', 43'), Zapata (61')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Pereyra (45'), Stryger Larsen (71')
Pereyra (58'), Samir (90')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 62.04%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 17.44%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Udinese win it was 1-2 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawUdinese
62.04%20.52%17.44%
Both teams to score 55.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.26%40.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.88%63.12%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.39%12.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.29%38.71%
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.23%36.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.44%73.56%
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 62.04%
    Udinese 17.44%
    Draw 20.52%
Atalanta BCDrawUdinese
2-1 @ 9.95%
2-0 @ 9.94%
1-0 @ 9.6%
3-1 @ 6.87%
3-0 @ 6.86%
4-1 @ 3.56%
4-0 @ 3.55%
3-2 @ 3.44%
4-2 @ 1.78%
5-1 @ 1.47%
5-0 @ 1.47%
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 62.04%
1-1 @ 9.6%
2-2 @ 4.98%
0-0 @ 4.63%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 20.52%
1-2 @ 4.8%
0-1 @ 4.64%
0-2 @ 2.32%
2-3 @ 1.66%
1-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 17.44%

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