Despite the difference in league positions, this has all the makings of being one of the more competitive fixtures in Serie A this weekend. Nevertheless, although we feel that Bologna will push their more illustrious opponents for much of the encounter, the visitors' extra quality could shine through during the latter stages.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 50.36%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Bologna win was 2-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
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