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Serie A | Gameweek 3
Sep 13, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
HV

Bologna
1 - 0
Hellas Verona

Svanberg (78')
Dominguez (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Barak (49'), Ceccherini (84'), Faraoni (90+8')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 43.69%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
BolognaDrawHellas Verona
43.69%24.26%32.04%
Both teams to score 59.23%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.74%43.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.34%65.65%
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.03%19.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.87%52.13%
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74%25.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.98%61.01%
Score Analysis
    Bologna 43.69%
    Hellas Verona 32.04%
    Draw 24.26%
BolognaDrawHellas Verona
2-1 @ 9.08%
1-0 @ 8.36%
2-0 @ 6.74%
3-1 @ 4.88%
3-0 @ 3.62%
3-2 @ 3.28%
4-1 @ 1.96%
4-0 @ 1.46%
4-2 @ 1.32%
Other @ 3%
Total : 43.69%
1-1 @ 11.26%
2-2 @ 6.11%
0-0 @ 5.19%
3-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.26%
1-2 @ 7.59%
0-1 @ 6.99%
0-2 @ 4.71%
1-3 @ 3.41%
2-3 @ 2.75%
0-3 @ 2.12%
1-4 @ 1.15%
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 32.04%

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