Spezia
2 - 2
Fiorentina

Verde (39'), Farias (75')
Deiola (45+1'), Chabot (59')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Pezzella (2'), Biraghi (4')
Bonaventura (66'), Lirola (87')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A encounter between Spezia and Fiorentina, including prediction, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 45.47%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 30.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Spezia	Draw	Fiorentina
45.47%	24.38%	30.15%

Both teams to score 57.86%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.37%

44.63%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33%

67%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.24%

19.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.2%

51.8%

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.11%

27.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.5%

63.5%

Score Analysis

Spezia 45.47%

Fiorentina 30.15%

Draw 24.38%

Spezia	Draw	Fiorentina
2-1 @ 9.25% 1-0 @ 8.94% 2-0 @ 7.25% 3-1 @ 5% 3-0 @ 3.92% 3-2 @ 3.19% 4-1 @ 2.03% 4-0 @ 1.59% 4-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 3.02% Total : 45.47%	1-1 @ 11.41% 2-2 @ 5.91% 0-0 @ 5.51% 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.38%	1-2 @ 7.29% 0-1 @ 7.04% 0-2 @ 4.49% 1-3 @ 3.1% 2-3 @ 2.51% 0-3 @ 1.91% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.82% Total : 30.15%