Monday could finally herald Cremonese's first Serie A win since promotion, as injury-hit Bologna are somewhat short of firepower. With 10 goals conceded from set-pieces already this term - Cremonese's 11 is a league high - the hosts may be undone in that manner and find themselves unable to respond.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 52.33%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 23.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
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