As Bologna have been brilliant on home soil and a much-changed Milan may be distracted by dreams of European glory, a share of the spoils could be the outcome. Well organised and offering a renewed challenge under Thiago Motta, the Rossoblu are capable of claiming a point against the outgoing champions.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-0 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
0.02) 
-0.02) 
