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Serie A | Gameweek 4
Aug 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
C

Inter Milan
3 - 1
Cremonese

Correa (12'), Barella (38'), Martinez (76')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Okereke (90')
Dessers (50'), Aiwu (66'), Vasquez (79')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cremonese 1-2 Torino
Saturday, August 27 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Inter Milan 2-0 Cremonese

Inter Milan will be heavily fancied to get the job done given the gulf in class between the two sides. We are backing the hosts to cruise to a comfortable victory at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 75.83%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 9.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.03%), while for a Cremonese win it was 1-2 (2.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawCremonese
75.83% (1.063 1.06) 14.97% (-0.441 -0.44) 9.19% (-0.6231 -0.62)
Both teams to score 50.43% (-0.966 -0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.34% (0.099999999999994 0.1)34.66% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.39% (0.112 0.11)56.6% (-0.115 -0.12)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.39% (0.245 0.25)7.61% (-0.246 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.78% (0.628 0.63)27.21% (-0.631 -0.63)
Cremonese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.59% (-1.195 -1.2)45.41% (1.191 1.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.74% (-0.955 -0.96)81.26% (0.95399999999999 0.95)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 75.83%
    Cremonese 9.19%
    Draw 14.97%
Inter MilanDrawCremonese
2-0 @ 11.46% (0.22 0.22)
3-0 @ 9.84% (0.311 0.31)
2-1 @ 9.05% (-0.123 -0.12)
1-0 @ 8.9% (0.065 0.06)
3-1 @ 7.77% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
4-0 @ 6.34% (0.276 0.28)
4-1 @ 5% (0.056 0.06)
5-0 @ 3.26% (0.181 0.18)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.107 -0.11)
5-1 @ 2.58% (0.061 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.98% (-0.043 -0.04)
6-0 @ 1.4% (0.094 0.09)
6-1 @ 1.11% (0.039 0.04)
5-2 @ 1.02% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 75.83%
1-1 @ 7.03% (-0.185 -0.19)
2-2 @ 3.57% (-0.171 -0.17)
0-0 @ 3.46% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 14.97%
1-2 @ 2.77% (-0.169 -0.17)
0-1 @ 2.73% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-2 @ 1.08% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-3 @ 0.94% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 9.19%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lazio 3-1 Inter Milan
Friday, August 26 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 3-0 Spezia
Saturday, August 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 1-2 Inter Milan
Saturday, August 13 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-4 Villarreal
Saturday, August 6 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-2 Lyon
Saturday, July 30 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Lens 1-0 Inter Milan
Saturday, July 23 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Cremonese 1-2 Torino
Saturday, August 27 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Cremonese
Monday, August 22 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 3-2 Cremonese
Sunday, August 14 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cremonese 3-2 Ternana
Monday, August 8 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Como 1-2 Cremonese
Friday, May 6 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Cremonese 0-1 Ascoli
Saturday, April 30 at 1pm in Serie B


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