Balancing duties at home and abroad will prove a tough task for Napoli, but given their visitors' current form and their own increasing squad depth, they are set to secure a third straight victory - and their first top-flight win over Spezia at the Maradona. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 78.42%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 7.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.37%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (2.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Spezia
78.42% ( -1.57)	13.62% ( 0.58)	7.95% ( 0.98)

Both teams to score 50.04% (

3.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.74% (

1.1)

32.25% (

-1.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.13% (

1.27)

53.86% (

-1.28)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.43% (

-0.08)

6.56% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.56% (

-0.19)

24.43% (

0.19)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.55% (

3.34)

46.44% (

-3.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.93% (

2.44)

82.06% (

-2.45)

Score Analysis

Napoli 78.41%

Spezia 7.95%

Draw 13.62%

Napoli	Draw	Spezia
2-0 @ 11.3% ( -0.78) 3-0 @ 10.26% ( -0.75) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.24) 1-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.54) 3-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.19) 4-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.54) 4-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.11) 5-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.31) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.34) 5-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.22) 6-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.15) 6-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.68% Total : 78.41%	1-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.39) 0-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.19) Other @ 0.88% Total : 13.62%	1-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.29) 0-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.17% Total : 7.95%