Although their defeat on Thursday was demoralising at the time, you have to expect that Lazio will be motivated to respond at the first opportunity. Cremonese have improved in recent weeks, but we are backing the visitors to run out relatively comfortable winners. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
Cremonese	Draw	Lazio
35.22% ( 2.08)	24.95% ( 0.13)	39.84% ( -2.21)

Both teams to score 57.77% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.43% (

-0.11)

45.57% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.1% (

-0.11)

67.9% (

0.11)

Cremonese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.78% (

1.17)

25.22% (

-1.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.04% (

1.59)

59.96% (

-1.59)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.25% (

-1.12)

22.75% (

1.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.56% (

-1.68)

56.44% (

1.68)

Score Analysis

Cremonese 35.22%

Lazio 39.84%

Draw 24.94%

Cremonese	Draw	Lazio
2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.31) 1-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.38) 3-1 @ 3.7% ( 0.26) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.25) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.65% Total : 35.22%	1-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.94%	1-2 @ 8.66% ( -0.25) 0-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.25) 0-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.4) 1-3 @ 4.28% ( -0.27) 0-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.31) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.16) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.16) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.25% Total : 39.84%