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CL
Serie A | Gameweek 14
Dec 22, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Ezio Scida
PL

Crotone
2 - 1
Parma

Messias (24', 44')
Cuomo (55'), Golemic (79'), Reca (90+1'), Luperto (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Kucka (57')
Kurtic (33'), Hernani (45+1'), Kucka (46'), Inglese (47'), Cyprien (88'), Iacoponi (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crotone win with a probability of 46.63%. A win for Parma had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crotone win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Parma win was 1-2 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Crotone in this match.

Result
CrotoneDrawParma
46.63%24.16%29.21%
Both teams to score 58.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.83%44.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.45%66.55%
Crotone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.91%19.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.3%50.7%
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.7%28.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.98%64.02%
Score Analysis
    Crotone 46.63%
    Parma 29.21%
    Draw 24.16%
CrotoneDrawParma
2-1 @ 9.35%
1-0 @ 8.95%
2-0 @ 7.41%
3-1 @ 5.16%
3-0 @ 4.09%
3-2 @ 3.26%
4-1 @ 2.14%
4-0 @ 1.69%
4-2 @ 1.35%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 46.63%
1-1 @ 11.29%
2-2 @ 5.9%
0-0 @ 5.4%
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.16%
1-2 @ 7.13%
0-1 @ 6.82%
0-2 @ 4.3%
1-3 @ 3%
2-3 @ 2.48%
0-3 @ 1.81%
1-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 29.21%

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