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SL
Serie A | Gameweek 13
Dec 19, 2020 at 5pm UK
Stadio Luigi Ferraris
CL

Sampdoria
3 - 1
Crotone

Damsgaard (26'), Jankto (36'), Quagliarella (65')
Colley (30'), Ekdal (49')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Simy (45+1' pen.)
Messias (45+2'), Marrone (60')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Crotone win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sampdoria would win this match.

Result
SampdoriaDrawCrotone
39.06%25.29%35.65%
Both teams to score 56.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.91%47.09%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.67%69.33%
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.18%23.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42%58%
Crotone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.32%25.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.41%60.59%
Score Analysis
    Sampdoria 39.06%
    Crotone 35.65%
    Draw 25.29%
SampdoriaDrawCrotone
1-0 @ 8.78%
2-1 @ 8.56%
2-0 @ 6.29%
3-1 @ 4.09%
3-0 @ 3.01%
3-2 @ 2.78%
4-1 @ 1.47%
4-0 @ 1.08%
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2%
Total : 39.06%
1-1 @ 11.93%
0-0 @ 6.12%
2-2 @ 5.82%
3-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.29%
0-1 @ 8.32%
1-2 @ 8.11%
0-2 @ 5.65%
1-3 @ 3.68%
2-3 @ 2.64%
0-3 @ 2.56%
1-4 @ 1.25%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 35.65%

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