Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 59.95%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Crotone had a probability of 18.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.61%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Crotone win it was 1-0 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
