Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 75.19%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Parma had a probability of 10.12%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 3-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.62%), while for a Parma win it was 1-2 (3.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.