Despite Empoli's wretched form in front of goal at the Castellani this term, we expect a marginally more attacking approach against a leaky Como.
However, the spoils could be shared, with Fabregas's men possessing enough in attack to unpick the home side's rearguard.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
-0.26) 
0.7) 
