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Serie A | Gameweek 7
Oct 4, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Napoli
3 - 1
Como

McTominay (1'), Lukaku (53' pen.), Neres (86')
Espeto (59'), Conte (60')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Espeto (43')
Buongiorno (59')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Napoli 2-0 Monza
Sunday, September 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Como 3-2 Hellas Verona
Sunday, September 29 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Napoli 2-1 Como

While there is no doubt that Como are capable of causing Napoli some problems, the hosts have toughened up their defence under new management and will be difficult to break down. As the visitors have conceded the most goals during the final 15 minutes and stoppage time in Serie A so far (five) and Napoli have scored four during that period, it may be a late winner that seals the points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 71.44%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Como had a probability of 10.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.37%) and 3-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%), while for a Como win it was 0-1 (3.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
NapoliDrawComo
71.44% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06) 17.72% (0.029 0.03) 10.84% (0.032 0.03)
Both teams to score 46.76% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.23% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)42.77% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.83% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)65.17% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.34% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)10.65% (0.025 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.48% (-0.056000000000012 -0.06)34.51% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Como Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.33% (0.037000000000006 0.04)47.66% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.01% (0.026 0.03)82.98% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 71.44%
    Como 10.84%
    Draw 17.72%
NapoliDrawComo
2-0 @ 12.73%
1-0 @ 11.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 9.5% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 7.04% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-0 @ 5.32% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.94% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 2.38% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.77% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.46% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 71.44%
1-1 @ 8.43% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.08% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.5% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 17.72%
0-1 @ 3.76% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.12% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 10.84%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Napoli 2-0 Monza
Sunday, September 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 5-0 Palermo
Thursday, September 26 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Juventus 0-0 Napoli
Saturday, September 21 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 0-4 Napoli
Sunday, September 15 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 2-1 Parma
Saturday, August 31 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 3-0 Bologna
Sunday, August 25 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Como 3-2 Hellas Verona
Sunday, September 29 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 2-3 Como
Tuesday, September 24 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Como 2-2 Bologna
Saturday, September 14 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 1-0 Como
Sunday, September 1 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 1-1 Como
Monday, August 26 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 3-0 Como
Monday, August 19 at 7.45pm in Serie A


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