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Serie A | Gameweek 7
Oct 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
TL

Inter Milan
3 - 2
Torino

Thuram (25', 35', 60')
Aurel Bisseck (36')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Zapata (36'), Vlasic (86' pen.)
Linetty (58'), Walukiewicz (90+2')
Maripan (20')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 4-0 Red Star
Tuesday, October 1 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Torino 2-3 Lazio
Sunday, September 29 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Inter Milan 2-1 Torino

Torino have lost their last four Serie A games against Inter without scoring a single goal, but their form this season suggests they can at least improve on that grim trend. The champions have started their title defence unconvincingly, but Toro are beginning to leak goals and could be caught out on more than one occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 64.33%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Torino had a probability of 14.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.87%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawTorino
64.33% (0.019999999999996 0.02) 20.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 14.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.34% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)46.98% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.78% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)69.22% (0.012 0.01)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.13% (0.007000000000005 0.01)13.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.72% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)41.29% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.13% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)43.87% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.99% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)80.02% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 64.33%
    Torino 14.84%
    Draw 20.83%
Inter MilanDrawTorino
1-0 @ 12.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 11.87% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 7.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.44% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 3.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.18%
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-0 @ 1.52% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 64.33%
1-1 @ 9.91% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 6.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 20.83%
0-1 @ 5.02% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 4.08% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 2.07% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 1.12% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.11% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 14.84%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Inter Milan 4-0 Red Star
Tuesday, October 1 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Udinese 2-3 Inter Milan
Saturday, September 28 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-2 AC Milan
Sunday, September 22 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Man City 0-0 Inter Milan
Wednesday, September 18 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Monza 1-1 Inter Milan
Sunday, September 15 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 4-0 Atalanta
Friday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 2-3 Lazio
Sunday, September 29 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 1-2 Empoli
Tuesday, September 24 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Hellas Verona 2-3 Torino
Friday, September 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 0-0 Lecce
Sunday, September 15 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Venezia 0-1 Torino
Friday, August 30 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 2-1 Atalanta
Sunday, August 25 at 5.30pm in Serie A


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