With both sides low on confidence following a difficult start to the season, we think a cagey contest could result in the spoils being shared on Wednesday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
0.09) 
-0.14) 
