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EL
Serie A | Gameweek 6
Sep 12, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
RL

Empoli
1 - 2
Roma

Bandinelli (43')
Parisi (27'), Ismajli (60'), Akpa-Akpro (65')
Akpa-Akpro (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dybala (17'), Abraham (71')
Celik (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salernitana 2-2 Empoli
Monday, September 5 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Ludogorets 2-1 Roma
Thursday, September 8 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Empoli 1-2 Roma

Given Empoli's dire run at the Castellani, the timing of Roma's visit could not be better for the capital club - in theory, at least. They may not be at full tilt due to continental commitments, but the Giallorossi now possess enough firepower on the bench to finish the job if the game remains close later on. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 46.24%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Roma in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Roma.

Result
EmpoliDrawRoma
29.13% (3.009 3.01) 24.62% (0.68 0.68) 46.24% (-3.69 -3.69)
Both teams to score 56.42% (0.108 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.75% (-0.942 -0.94)46.24% (0.942 0.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.46% (-0.896 -0.9)68.53% (0.896 0.9)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.6% (1.75 1.75)29.4% (-1.75 -1.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.61% (2.091 2.09)65.39% (-2.091 -2.09)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.92% (-1.874 -1.87)20.08% (1.874 1.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.68% (-3.096 -3.1)52.32% (3.096 3.1)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 29.13%
    Roma 46.24%
    Draw 24.62%
EmpoliDrawRoma
1-0 @ 7.23% (0.612 0.61)
2-1 @ 7.1% (0.531 0.53)
2-0 @ 4.42% (0.566 0.57)
3-1 @ 2.9% (0.343 0.34)
3-2 @ 2.33% (0.15 0.15)
3-0 @ 1.81% (0.305 0.31)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 29.13%
1-1 @ 11.6% (0.34 0.34)
0-0 @ 5.9% (0.232 0.23)
2-2 @ 5.7% (0.104 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.62%
0-1 @ 9.48% (-0.183 -0.18)
1-2 @ 9.31% (-0.282 -0.28)
0-2 @ 7.61% (-0.619 -0.62)
1-3 @ 4.98% (-0.465 -0.47)
0-3 @ 4.07% (-0.6 -0.6)
2-3 @ 3.05% (-0.127 -0.13)
1-4 @ 2% (-0.319 -0.32)
0-4 @ 1.63% (-0.355 -0.36)
2-4 @ 1.23% (-0.128 -0.13)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 46.24%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Salernitana 2-2 Empoli
Monday, September 5 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 1-1 Hellas Verona
Wednesday, August 31 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Empoli
Sunday, August 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 0-0 Fiorentina
Sunday, August 21 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 1-0 Empoli
Sunday, August 14 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 1-2 SPAL
Saturday, August 6 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Ludogorets 2-1 Roma
Thursday, September 8 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Udinese 4-0 Roma
Sunday, September 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 3-0 Monza
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 1-1 Roma
Saturday, August 27 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Cremonese
Monday, August 22 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 0-1 Roma
Sunday, August 14 at 7.45pm in Serie A


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