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FL
Serie A | Gameweek 19
Jan 23, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
CL

Fiorentina
2 - 1
Crotone

Bonaventura (20'), Vlahovic (32')
Julio (4'), Ribery (41')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Simy (66')
Zanellato (30'), Pereira (83')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 50.74%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 24.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Crotone win was 0-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawCrotone
50.74%24.35%24.91%
Both teams to score 53.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.91%48.09%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.75%70.25%
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.04%18.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.51%50.49%
Crotone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.37%33.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.72%70.28%
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 50.74%
    Crotone 24.91%
    Draw 24.34%
FiorentinaDrawCrotone
1-0 @ 10.6%
2-1 @ 9.61%
2-0 @ 8.82%
3-1 @ 5.32%
3-0 @ 4.89%
3-2 @ 2.9%
4-1 @ 2.21%
4-0 @ 2.03%
4-2 @ 1.21%
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 50.74%
1-1 @ 11.55%
0-0 @ 6.38%
2-2 @ 5.23%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.34%
0-1 @ 6.95%
1-2 @ 6.3%
0-2 @ 3.79%
1-3 @ 2.29%
2-3 @ 1.9%
0-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 24.91%

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