Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 50.74%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 24.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Crotone win was 0-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
