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RL
Serie A | Gameweek 1
Aug 22, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
FL

Roma
3 - 1
Fiorentina

Mkhitaryan (26'), Veretout (64', 79')
Pellegrini (13'), Zaniolo (44')
Zaniolo (52')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Milenkovic (60')
Bonaventura (45+3'), Pulgar (53')
Dragowski (17')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 66.68%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 14.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 0-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawFiorentina
66.68%19.25%14.07%
Both teams to score 51.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.36%41.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.96%64.04%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.41%11.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.43%36.57%
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.34%41.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.86%78.14%
Score Analysis
    Roma 66.67%
    Fiorentina 14.07%
    Draw 19.25%
RomaDrawFiorentina
2-0 @ 11.21%
1-0 @ 10.4%
2-1 @ 9.82%
3-0 @ 8.06%
3-1 @ 7.05%
4-0 @ 4.34%
4-1 @ 3.8%
3-2 @ 3.09%
5-0 @ 1.87%
4-2 @ 1.66%
5-1 @ 1.64%
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 66.67%
1-1 @ 9.11%
0-0 @ 4.83%
2-2 @ 4.3%
3-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 19.25%
0-1 @ 4.23%
1-2 @ 3.99%
0-2 @ 1.85%
2-3 @ 1.25%
1-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 14.07%

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