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NL
Serie A | Gameweek 6
Sep 26, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
CL

Napoli
2 - 0
Cagliari

Osimhen (11'), Insigne (57' pen.)
Osimhen (66'), Elmas (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 68.39%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 12.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Napoli in this match.

Result
NapoliDrawCagliari
68.39%18.66%12.95%
Both teams to score 50.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.49%41.51%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.08%63.91%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.9%11.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.5%35.5%
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.75%43.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.5%79.5%
Score Analysis
    Napoli 68.38%
    Cagliari 12.95%
    Draw 18.66%
NapoliDrawCagliari
2-0 @ 11.6%
1-0 @ 10.55%
2-1 @ 9.72%
3-0 @ 8.5%
3-1 @ 7.13%
4-0 @ 4.67%
4-1 @ 3.92%
3-2 @ 2.99%
5-0 @ 2.05%
5-1 @ 1.72%
4-2 @ 1.64%
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 68.38%
1-1 @ 8.85%
0-0 @ 4.8%
2-2 @ 4.08%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 18.66%
0-1 @ 4.02%
1-2 @ 3.71%
0-2 @ 1.69%
2-3 @ 1.14%
1-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 12.95%

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