A tight contest is to be expected, as a home team that prefers to attack - but has lacked sharpness of late - meets an away side that prizes defensive rigour above all else. While Fiorentina can end their wait for a league goal, in-form Juventus should still leave Tuscany with at least a point.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 50.84%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 25.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Juventus win was 0-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
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