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Serie A | Gameweek 38
Aug 2, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Luigi Ferraris
HV

Genoa
3 - 0
Hellas Verona

Sanabria (13', 25'), Romero (44')
Sanabria (6'), Romero (45+3'), Masiello (49')
Romero (62'), Cassata (90+1')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Amrabat (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 39%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.

Result
GenoaDrawHellas Verona
39%25.76%35.23%
Both teams to score 54.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.77%49.23%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.71%71.29%
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.18%24.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.6%59.4%
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.06%26.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.73%62.26%
Score Analysis
    Genoa 39%
    Hellas Verona 35.23%
    Draw 25.75%
GenoaDrawHellas Verona
1-0 @ 9.31%
2-1 @ 8.52%
2-0 @ 6.49%
3-1 @ 3.96%
3-0 @ 3.02%
3-2 @ 2.6%
4-1 @ 1.38%
4-0 @ 1.05%
4-2 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 39%
1-1 @ 12.21%
0-0 @ 6.68%
2-2 @ 5.59%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.75%
0-1 @ 8.77%
1-2 @ 8.02%
0-2 @ 5.75%
1-3 @ 3.51%
0-3 @ 2.52%
2-3 @ 2.44%
1-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 35.23%


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