This is a big match for both sides, and it will be fascinating to see what occurs on Friday. Genoa would move out of the relegation zone with all three points, but it is difficult to back them with any real confidence at the moment, so we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw, which would be a frustrating result for both managers.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sampdoria would win this match.
