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Serie A | Gameweek 12
Nov 7, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Luigi Ferraris
BL

Sampdoria
1 - 2
Bologna

Thorsby (77')
Gabbiadini (33'), Colley (34'), Ekdal (90'), Murru (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Svanberg (47'), Arnautovic (78')
Hickey (11')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 28.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
SampdoriaDrawBologna
45.85%25.48%28.66%
Both teams to score 53.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.79%50.21%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.83%72.17%
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.11%21.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.86%55.14%
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.21%31.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.78%68.22%
Score Analysis
    Sampdoria 45.84%
    Bologna 28.66%
    Draw 25.48%
SampdoriaDrawBologna
1-0 @ 10.56%
2-1 @ 9.2%
2-0 @ 8.03%
3-1 @ 4.66%
3-0 @ 4.07%
3-2 @ 2.67%
4-1 @ 1.77%
4-0 @ 1.54%
4-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 45.84%
1-1 @ 12.11%
0-0 @ 6.96%
2-2 @ 5.27%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.48%
0-1 @ 7.97%
1-2 @ 6.94%
0-2 @ 4.57%
1-3 @ 2.65%
2-3 @ 2.02%
0-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 28.66%

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