Although Torino tend to struggle for goals when away from home, last week's success should imbue their forwards with confidence. As a result, they can come close to taking three points back to Turin - but Gilardino's Genoa are not easily beaten at Marassi and can escape with a draw.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Torino had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Torino win was 0-1 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
-0.17) 
0.01) 
