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Serie A | Gameweek 19
Jan 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
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Bologna
1 - 1
Genoa

De Silvestri (90+5')
Posch (19'), Zirkzee (88'), Kristansen (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gudmundsson (20')
Vasquez (40'), Retegui (71'), Sabelli (79')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Udinese 3-0 Bologna
Saturday, December 30 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 1-1 Inter Milan
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Bologna 1-0 Genoa

Based purely on form this season, there can be only one winner, as Bologna are unbeaten in nine at home - winning eight - and Genoa have lost six out of nine on the road. However, it will be interesting to see whether Bologna can respond to a bruising defeat last weekend, while Genoa will be riding high after three very impressive results to see out 2023. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 48.99%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 23.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
BolognaDrawGenoa
48.99% (-1.288 -1.29) 27.92% (0.351 0.35) 23.09% (0.934 0.93)
Both teams to score 42% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.45% (-0.416 -0.42)62.55% (0.413 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.86% (-0.305 -0.31)82.14% (0.303 0.3)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.2% (-0.801 -0.8)25.8% (0.8 0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.25% (-1.097 -1.1)60.75% (1.096 1.1)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.6% (0.70099999999999 0.7)43.4% (-0.704 -0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.37% (0.581 0.58)79.62% (-0.584 -0.58)
Score Analysis
    Bologna 48.98%
    Genoa 23.09%
    Draw 27.91%
BolognaDrawGenoa
1-0 @ 15.16% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-0 @ 10.27% (-0.32 -0.32)
2-1 @ 8.58% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-0 @ 4.64% (-0.255 -0.26)
3-1 @ 3.87% (-0.135 -0.14)
3-2 @ 1.62% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.57% (-0.125 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.31% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 48.98%
1-1 @ 12.66% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 11.19% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 3.58% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 27.91%
0-1 @ 9.35% (0.32 0.32)
1-2 @ 5.29% (0.163 0.16)
0-2 @ 3.9% (0.206 0.21)
1-3 @ 1.47% (0.073 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.077 0.08)
2-3 @ 1% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 1%
Total : 23.09%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Udinese 3-0 Bologna
Saturday, December 30 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 1-0 Atalanta
Saturday, December 23 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-2 Bologna
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Bologna 2-0 Roma
Sunday, December 17 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 1-2 Bologna
Sunday, December 10 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Bologna
Sunday, December 3 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 1-1 Inter Milan
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sassuolo 1-2 Genoa
Friday, December 22 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 1-1 Juventus
Friday, December 15 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 1-0 Genoa
Sunday, December 10 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 1-0 Genoa
Tuesday, December 5 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Genoa 1-1 Empoli
Saturday, December 2 at 2pm in Serie A


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