Torino's search for a first league win could end on Sunday evening, as they come up against a Genoa side likely to concede the ball and frustrate them. It may well be one goal that decides a close-fought game, and having just bolstered their front line, Toro should score it.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 45.96%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 26.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Torino in this match.
0.43) 
-0.09) 
