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Serie A | Gameweek 17
Jan 10, 2021 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Olimpico
IL

Roma
2 - 2
Inter Milan

Pellegrini (17'), Mancini (86')
Smalling (45+1'), Mancini (65'), Villar (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Skriniar (56'), Hakimi (63')
Lukaku (43'), Bastoni (67'), Perisic (90+5')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for Roma had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.13%) and 0-2 (5.31%). The likeliest Roma win was 2-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
RomaDrawInter Milan
36.03%22.82%41.15%
Both teams to score 65.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.88%35.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.88%57.12%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80%20%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.81%52.19%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.31%17.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.66%48.34%
Score Analysis
    Roma 36.03%
    Inter Milan 41.15%
    Draw 22.82%
RomaDrawInter Milan
2-1 @ 7.94%
1-0 @ 5.7%
2-0 @ 4.58%
3-1 @ 4.26%
3-2 @ 3.69%
3-0 @ 2.46%
4-1 @ 1.71%
4-2 @ 1.48%
4-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 36.03%
1-1 @ 9.86%
2-2 @ 6.87%
0-0 @ 3.54%
3-3 @ 2.13%
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 22.82%
1-2 @ 8.54%
0-1 @ 6.13%
0-2 @ 5.31%
1-3 @ 4.93%
2-3 @ 3.97%
0-3 @ 3.06%
1-4 @ 2.14%
2-4 @ 1.72%
0-4 @ 1.33%
3-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 41.15%

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