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CL
Serie A | Gameweek 32
Apr 21, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Ezio Scida
SL

Crotone
0 - 1
Sampdoria


Cigarini (37'), Cosmi (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Quagliarella (53')
Ferrari (45+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 42.7%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Crotone win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sampdoria would win this match.

Result
CrotoneDrawSampdoria
32.64%24.66%42.7%
Both teams to score 58.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.13%44.87%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.77%67.22%
Crotone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.59%26.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.42%61.57%
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.92%21.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.1%53.89%
Score Analysis
    Crotone 32.64%
    Sampdoria 42.7%
    Draw 24.66%
CrotoneDrawSampdoria
2-1 @ 7.68%
1-0 @ 7.41%
2-0 @ 4.93%
3-1 @ 3.41%
3-2 @ 2.65%
3-0 @ 2.19%
4-1 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 32.64%
1-1 @ 11.54%
2-2 @ 5.98%
0-0 @ 5.57%
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.66%
1-2 @ 8.98%
0-1 @ 8.67%
0-2 @ 6.75%
1-3 @ 4.66%
0-3 @ 3.5%
2-3 @ 3.1%
1-4 @ 1.81%
0-4 @ 1.36%
2-4 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 42.7%

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