Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
