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Serie A | Gameweek 16
Jan 6, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Luigi Ferraris
IL

Sampdoria
2 - 1
Inter Milan

Candreva (23' pen.), Balde (38')
Thorsby (57'), Balde (84'), Askildsen (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)
de Vrij (65')
Martinez (16'), Barella (23'), de Vrij (40'), Hakimi (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 67.84%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 14.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.33%) and 1-3 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.39%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 2-1 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
SampdoriaDrawInter Milan
14.96%17.2%67.84%
Both teams to score 61.99%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.5%29.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.41%50.59%
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.39%32.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.85%69.15%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.98%8.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.76%28.24%
Score Analysis
    Sampdoria 14.96%
    Inter Milan 67.84%
    Draw 17.2%
SampdoriaDrawInter Milan
2-1 @ 4.14%
1-0 @ 2.93%
3-2 @ 1.95%
2-0 @ 1.64%
3-1 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 14.96%
1-1 @ 7.39%
2-2 @ 5.23%
0-0 @ 2.61%
3-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 17.2%
1-2 @ 9.33%
0-2 @ 8.33%
1-3 @ 7.85%
0-3 @ 7.01%
0-1 @ 6.6%
1-4 @ 4.95%
0-4 @ 4.42%
2-3 @ 4.4%
2-4 @ 2.78%
1-5 @ 2.5%
0-5 @ 2.23%
2-5 @ 1.4%
1-6 @ 1.05%
3-4 @ 1.04%
0-6 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 67.84%

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