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Serie A | Gameweek 14
Nov 27, 2021 at 5pm UK
Juventus Stadium
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Juventus
0 - 1
Atalanta


Cuadrado (50'), Rabiot (66'), Bernardeschi (79'), Locatelli (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Zapata (28')
Freuler (32'), Malinovskyi (37'), Zappacosta (43'), Demiral (70'), Djimsiti (85')

We said: Juventus 1-1 Atalanta BC

Despite their stumble in Switzerland this week, Atalanta's away form this season has been mightily impressive, so they can take a point home from Turin to keep Juventus at bay in the ongoing contest for a top-four position. La Dea's customary attacking width can cause problems for an often unbalanced Juve midfield, but they may come up just short of a first win at the Old Lady's home ground since the turn of the century. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 32.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
JuventusDrawAtalanta BC
43.06%24.1%32.85%
Both teams to score 60.15%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.81%42.18%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.41%64.59%
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.2%19.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.13%51.87%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.01%24.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.35%59.65%
Score Analysis
    Juventus 43.06%
    Atalanta BC 32.85%
    Draw 24.09%
JuventusDrawAtalanta BC
2-1 @ 9%
1-0 @ 8.01%
2-0 @ 6.49%
3-1 @ 4.86%
3-0 @ 3.5%
3-2 @ 3.37%
4-1 @ 1.97%
4-0 @ 1.42%
4-2 @ 1.36%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 43.06%
1-1 @ 11.11%
2-2 @ 6.24%
0-0 @ 4.95%
3-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.09%
1-2 @ 7.7%
0-1 @ 6.86%
0-2 @ 4.76%
1-3 @ 3.56%
2-3 @ 2.88%
0-3 @ 2.2%
1-4 @ 1.23%
2-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 32.85%

Read more!
Read more!


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