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Serie A | Gameweek 4
Sep 19, 2021 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
CL

Lazio
2 - 2
Cagliari

Immobile (45'), Cataldi (83')
Felipe (42')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Pedro (46'), Balde (62')
Caceres (6'), Zappa (61'), Mazzarri (83')
Zappa (90+4')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 69.28%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 12.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
LazioDrawCagliari
69.28%18.35%12.38%
Both teams to score 49.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.48%41.52%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.08%63.92%
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.13%10.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65%34.99%
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.82%44.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.73%80.27%
Score Analysis
    Lazio 69.26%
    Cagliari 12.38%
    Draw 18.35%
LazioDrawCagliari
2-0 @ 11.82%
1-0 @ 10.65%
2-1 @ 9.66%
3-0 @ 8.75%
3-1 @ 7.15%
4-0 @ 4.85%
4-1 @ 3.97%
3-2 @ 2.92%
5-0 @ 2.15%
5-1 @ 1.76%
4-2 @ 1.62%
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 69.26%
1-1 @ 8.71%
0-0 @ 4.8%
2-2 @ 3.95%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 18.35%
0-1 @ 3.92%
1-2 @ 3.56%
0-2 @ 1.6%
2-3 @ 1.08%
1-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 12.38%

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