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Serie A | Gameweek 16
Dec 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
IL

Lazio
0 - 6
Inter Milan


Rovella (40'), Zaccagni (80')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Calhanoglu (41' pen.), Dimarco (45'), Barella (51'), Dumfries (53'), Augusto (77'), Thuram (90')
Calhanoglu (24'), Bastoni (31'), Aurel Bisseck (44'), Darmian (75')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 1-3 Lazio
Thursday, December 12 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 1-0 Inter Milan
Tuesday, December 10 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Lazio 2-2 Inter Milan

With both clubs in fine form, an absorbing contest should be in store at Stadio Olimpico, where Lazio are yet to lose this season. Even if the visitors establish a lead, there could well be a late twist: no team have scored more often than the Aquile during the last 15 minutes, while ageing Inter have conceded a league-high 47% of their goals within that same period. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
LazioDrawInter Milan
32.05% (-1.071 -1.07) 27.19% (0.056999999999999 0.06) 40.77% (1.02 1.02)
Both teams to score 49.63% (-0.474 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.33% (-0.462 -0.46)55.68% (0.469 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.18% (-0.376 -0.38)76.83% (0.383 0.38)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.83% (-0.96599999999999 -0.97)32.17% (0.972 0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.35% (-1.111 -1.11)68.66% (1.119 1.12)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.17% (0.343 0.34)26.83% (-0.338 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.87% (0.448 0.45)62.13% (-0.442 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 32.05%
    Inter Milan 40.76%
    Draw 27.18%
LazioDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 9.79% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-1 @ 7.3% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-0 @ 5.55% (-0.199 -0.2)
3-1 @ 2.76% (-0.148 -0.15)
3-0 @ 2.1% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-2 @ 1.82% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 32.05%
1-1 @ 12.87% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.63% (0.154 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.18%
0-1 @ 11.35% (0.31 0.31)
1-2 @ 8.47% (0.089 0.09)
0-2 @ 7.47% (0.274 0.27)
1-3 @ 3.72% (0.075 0.08)
0-3 @ 3.28% (0.15 0.15)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.22% (0.036 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.08% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 40.76%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Ajax 1-3 Lazio
Thursday, December 12 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Napoli 0-1 Lazio
Sunday, December 8 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 3-1 Napoli
Thursday, December 5 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Parma 3-1 Lazio
Sunday, December 1 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 0-0 Ludogorets
Thursday, November 28 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Lazio 3-0 Bologna
Sunday, November 24 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 1-0 Inter Milan
Tuesday, December 10 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Inter Milan 3-1 Parma
Friday, December 6 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 RB Leipzig
Tuesday, November 26 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-5 Inter Milan
Saturday, November 23 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-1 Napoli
Sunday, November 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Arsenal
Wednesday, November 6 at 8pm in Champions League


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