Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 50.07%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 26.91% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-2 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
