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Serie A | Gameweek 29
Apr 3, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
SC

Lazio
2 - 1
Spezia

Lazzari (56'), Caicedo (88' pen.)
Pereira (30'), Correa (77'), Inzaghi (90+2')
Lazzari (90+6'), Correa (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Verde (73')
Chabot (20'), N'Zola (90+4'), Agudelo (90+6')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 66.51%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 14.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.68%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
LazioDrawSpezia
66.51%18.71%14.77%
Both teams to score 55.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.51%37.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.28%59.72%
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.54%10.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.94%34.06%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.94%38.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.18%74.82%
Score Analysis
    Lazio 66.51%
    Spezia 14.78%
    Draw 18.71%
LazioDrawSpezia
2-0 @ 10.14%
2-1 @ 9.8%
1-0 @ 8.99%
3-0 @ 7.64%
3-1 @ 7.38%
4-0 @ 4.31%
4-1 @ 4.17%
3-2 @ 3.56%
4-2 @ 2.01%
5-0 @ 1.95%
5-1 @ 1.88%
5-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 66.51%
1-1 @ 8.68%
2-2 @ 4.73%
0-0 @ 3.98%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 18.71%
1-2 @ 4.19%
0-1 @ 3.84%
0-2 @ 1.86%
2-3 @ 1.53%
1-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 14.78%

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