Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 44.17%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spezia would win this match.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Cagliari |
44.17% | 26.07% | 29.76% |
Both teams to score 52.08% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.93% | 52.07% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.2% | 73.8% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.53% | 23.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.52% | 57.48% |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.05% | 31.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.6% | 68.4% |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Cagliari |
1-0 @ 10.86% 2-1 @ 8.99% 2-0 @ 7.88% 3-1 @ 4.34% 3-0 @ 3.81% 3-2 @ 2.48% 4-1 @ 1.57% 4-0 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.86% Total : 44.17% | 1-1 @ 12.4% 0-0 @ 7.5% 2-2 @ 5.13% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.07% | 0-1 @ 8.55% 1-2 @ 7.08% 0-2 @ 4.88% 1-3 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 1.95% 0-3 @ 1.86% Other @ 2.75% Total : 29.76% |
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