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Serie A | Gameweek 26
Mar 6, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy
BL

Spezia
1 - 1
Benevento

Verde (71')
Bastoni (25'), Erlic (80')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gaich (24')
Improta (44'), Barba (72'), Sau (79'), Dabo (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Benevento win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
SpeziaDrawBenevento
40.25%27.01%32.74%
Both teams to score 50.37%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.18%54.82%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.88%76.12%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.29%26.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.03%61.97%
Benevento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.73%31.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.39%67.61%
Score Analysis
    Spezia 40.25%
    Benevento 32.74%
    Draw 27%
SpeziaDrawBenevento
1-0 @ 11.02%
2-1 @ 8.46%
2-0 @ 7.28%
3-1 @ 3.72%
3-0 @ 3.2%
3-2 @ 2.16%
4-1 @ 1.23%
4-0 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 40.25%
1-1 @ 12.81%
0-0 @ 8.35%
2-2 @ 4.92%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27%
0-1 @ 9.71%
1-2 @ 7.45%
0-2 @ 5.64%
1-3 @ 2.89%
0-3 @ 2.19%
2-3 @ 1.91%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 32.74%

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