Fiorentina
3 - 0
Spezia

Vlahovic (51'), Castrovilli (65'), Eysseric (83')
Amrabat (18'), Eysseric (75'), Valero (77'), Martinez (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Preview

Data Analysis

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 49.33%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 26.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Spezia
49.33%	24.4%	26.26%

Both teams to score 54.91%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.79%

47.21%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.56%

69.44%

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.82%

19.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.14%

50.86%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.95%

32.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.48%

68.52%

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 49.33%

Spezia 26.26%

Draw 24.4%

Fiorentina	Draw	Spezia
1-0 @ 10.15% 2-1 @ 9.54% 2-0 @ 8.38% 3-1 @ 5.25% 3-0 @ 4.61% 3-2 @ 2.99% 4-1 @ 2.17% 4-0 @ 1.9% 4-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.11% Total : 49.33%	1-1 @ 11.55% 0-0 @ 6.15% 2-2 @ 5.43% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.4%	0-1 @ 7% 1-2 @ 6.57% 0-2 @ 3.98% 1-3 @ 2.49% 2-3 @ 2.06% 0-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.65% Total : 26.26%