SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 72.79%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Monza had a probability of 9.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.92%) and 3-0 (10.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.23%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Napoli in this match.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Monza |
72.79% ( 1.67) | 17.33% ( -0.51) | 9.88% ( -1.16) |
| Both teams to score 44.55% ( -2.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.21% ( -1.07) | 43.78% ( 1.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.83% ( -1.06) | 66.17% ( 1.06) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.41% ( 0.14) | 10.59% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.64% ( 0.31) | 34.36% ( -0.31) |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.82% ( -2.94) | 50.18% ( 2.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.22% ( -2.12) | 84.78% ( 2.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Napoli | Draw | Monza |
| 2-0 @ 13.39% ( 0.77) 1-0 @ 11.92% ( 0.61)3-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.62)2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.23)3-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.38)4-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.26)5-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.14)6-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.84% Total : 72.77% | 1-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.26) 0-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.37)Other @ 0.6% Total : 17.33% | 0-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.35)0-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.12% Total : 9.89% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
