While Monza will be wary of underrating their struggling opponents, Nesta's men should continue their recent fine form at Venezia's expense.
Although the hosts have not scored more than one goal in any game at U-Power Stadium this term, three of those four matches were against Inter, Bologna and Roma, and they aim to get more joy against the league's bottom club.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 47.92%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Venezia win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
0.08) 
-0.09) 
