SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 44.49%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Venezia win was 1-0 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Atalanta BC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atalanta BC.
| Result | ||
| Venezia | Draw | Atalanta BC |
30.63% ( 0.23) | 24.87% ( -0.3) | 44.49% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 56.44% ( 1.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.39% ( 1.39) | 46.61% ( -1.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.12% ( 1.3) | 68.88% ( -1.3) |
| Venezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.44% ( 0.85) | 28.56% ( -0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.65% ( 1.06) | 64.35% ( -1.06) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79% ( 0.61) | 21% ( -0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.23% ( 0.95) | 53.77% ( -0.95) |
| Score Analysis |
| Venezia | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 1-0 @ 7.52% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.66% Total : 30.63% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 6% ( -0.36)2-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.86% | 0-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.38) 1-2 @ 9.15% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 4.76% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.13)1-4 @ 1.86% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.63% Total : 44.49% |
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