While both sides possess the firepower to blow away all-comers when in top gear, something must give when two of Serie A's great entertainers meet in Naples.
Undoubtedly, form is in Atalanta's favour ahead of the match, but Napoli's proud record at Stadio Maradona this year can help the league leaders overcome some significant absences through the spine of their team.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 49.26%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.3%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
